PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Thu, 25 Jun 2026 · 23:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3AT&T Stadium

Japan vs Sweden prediction

Japan crest
JapanJAP
PREDICTED3-1most-likely score69% confidence
Sweden crest
SwedenSWE

Win probability

69%
14%
17%
JAP win 69%Draw 14%SWE win 17%

Model read

3.21.6
Expected goals
86%
Over 2.5
77%
Both score
69%
Confidence

Recent form

Japan

WD

Sweden

LW

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model makes Japan the 69% favourite on neutral ground, projecting a most-likely scoreline of 3-1. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 86% and both teams to score at 77%.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds