Morocco vs Haiti prediction

Analysis

The xgprophet model forecasts Morocco as clear favourites, assigning them a 72% win probability with an expected most-likely scoreline of 1-0, supported by their superior expected goals output of 1.9 compared to Haiti's 0.5. Morocco's recent mixed form of a win and draw contrasts with Haiti's consecutive losses, though the model notes limited recent data for both sides. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, with both teams scoring in 32% of the model's simulations.