PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026
Wed, 24 Jun 2026 · 22:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Hard Rock Stadium

Scotland vs Brazil prediction

Scotland crest
ScotlandSCO
PREDICTED0-1most-likely score59% confidence
Brazil crest
BrazilBRA

Win probability

15%
26%
59%
SCO win 15%Draw 26%BRA win 59%

Model read

0.61.5
Expected goals
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Both score
59%
Confidence

Recent form

Scotland

LW

Brazil

WD

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

The model forecasts Brazil as clear favourites, with a 59% win probability and an expected goals advantage of 1.5 to 0.6, though Scotland's recent win suggests they remain competitive. The most likely outcome is a 1-0 Brazil victory, though the 26% draw probability and 36% chance of both teams scoring indicate meaningful uncertainty given the limited recent form data available. Goals are expected to be relatively scarce, with the model assigning just 36% probability to over 2.5 goals in the match.

18+

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xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds