Who will win Uruguay vs Spain?

xgprophet's model favours Spain at 64% (home 14% / draw 22% / away 64%).

What is the predicted score for Uruguay vs Spain?

The model's most-likely scoreline is 0-1.

PREDICTIONS/FIFA World Cup 2026

Sat, 27 Jun 2026 · 00:00 UTCGroup Stage - 3Estadio Akron

Uruguay vs Spain prediction

UruguayURU

PREDICTED0-1most-likely score64% confidence

SpainSPA

Win probability

14%

22%

64%

URU win 14%Draw 22%SPA win 64%

Model read

0.7–1.9

Expected goals

48%

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

64%

Confidence

Recent form

Uruguay

Spain

Analysis

Limited data — early in the competition

xgprophet's model makes Spain the 64% favourite on neutral ground, projecting a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 48% and both teams to score at 44%.

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AI forecast for information and entertainment only — not betting advice and no guarantee of outcome. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available at GamCare (0808 8020 133) and GAMSTOP.

xgprophet · model poisson-v1.2 · predictions read from cached data, never live odds